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The Federal Reserve held its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 3.75%–4.00% this week, opting to monitor inflation developments while the US economy continues to expand at a strong pace. Although the decision was widely anticipated, two policy...
Executive Summary As the Federal Reserve's October policy meeting approaches, market expectations for another interest rate hike this month have declined significantly. Attention is now shifting from the immediate decision to the Fed's policy trajec...
USD/JPY Maintains a Bullish Bias as Fed Tightening Expectations Provide Support Market Summary Rising US inflation has reinforced expectations that interest rates will remain elevated, providing continued support for the US dollar. Meanwhile, the l...
The Bank of England is maintaining a hawkish stance as inflation pressures persist. Meanwhile, signs of a cooling US labour market are raising questions about the Federal Reserve's next move. Both developments could offer support to the British Po...
Eurozone economic activity continued to improve in September, yet the euro has struggled to translate that momentum into strength against the US dollar. The Eurozone Composite PMI rose from 52.0 in August to 53.1 in September, reaching one of its ...
UK inflation picked up in August, although the increase in price pressures was largely concentrated in fuel, transportation and travel-related costs. Core inflation and services inflation remained relatively stable, suggesting that underlying domesti...
USD/CAD remains under pressure as two competing macro forces continue to shape the pair: resilience in the US economy is providing support for the US dollar and Treasury yields, while elevated oil prices are offering a tailwind to the Canadian dollar...
US labour market momentum is cooling just as expectations for further Bank of Japan tightening are gaining traction. With monetary policy expectations between the two economies beginning to diverge, USD/JPY has retreated from its July highs and is no...
Gold has regained upward momentum, supported by falling long-term US Treasury yields and renewed concerns over the expanding US fiscal deficit and sovereign debt outlook. But the stronger gold becomes, the more important the next move gets. Aft...
USD/JPY has come under renewed selling pressure as shifting monetary policy expectations in the United States and Japan increasingly point in opposite directions. Softer US employment data and easing inflationary pressure have reduced expectations...
